AI Analysis

• Costa's slight physical advantages in height and reach, combined with his higher striking output (4.44 SLpM vs. 4.08 SLpM) and lower striking absorption (3.09 SApM vs. 4.54 SApM), should allow him to control the range and pace.
• Charriere's higher striking absorption rate indicates a defensive vulnerability that Costa, despite his 0% listed accuracy, can exploit with volume to win rounds on the judges' scorecards.
• The grappling metrics are very close, but Costa's southpaw stance against Charriere's orthodox could create advantageous angles in striking, leading to a clearer, if not dominant, decision victory.